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Math, not magic.
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Billi Bhatti on the picks, the process, and the plays he's backing — two shows, new episodes every week. Free to listen, with premium episodes carrying exclusive picks.
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Billi Bhatti
Founder & Head Handicapper — the same disciplined, documented approach behind the picks, now in conversation.
Two shows
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Lock Betting
Picks and betting talk across every sport we cover.
- Nov 5 · 24 minPremium
The Europa League Show 26/27 | MD 4
Crystal Palace are in the Premier League’s bottom three having failed to score in their last three league matches, however, while domestic goals have been hard to come by, they have netted eight times in three Europa League outings. Therefore, there is a good chance they will be able to put that form to one side and claim a Europa League win over Hoffenheim, especially as the hosts are unbeaten in their last 7 home games in Europe.
- Nov 4 · 21 minPremium
Wednesday’s Champions League Betting Picks | Matchday 4
Real Madrid head to Greece on the back of a six-game winning run, and the Spanish giants can carry that form through this clash with AEK Athens. The hosts have suffered three defeats in four following a 2-0 reverse against Panathinaikos at the weekend, and they were hammered 5-1 by Manchester City in their last European outing. Real’s fine run continued with a 3-0 victory at Racing Santander on Sunday, and they have notched an impressive 18 goals across their winning streak. They’ve won by three clear goals in three of their last four across all competitions, and they are bidding to extend a perfect start to the League Phase
- Nov 3 · 13 minPremium
Tuesday’s Champions League Betting Picks | Matchday 4
Inter Milan have lost two of their first three Champions League games this term, and their only victory was an unconvincing 1-0 win over Shakhtar Donetsk. With games against Borussia Dortmund and Liverpool yet to come, a slip up in Rotterdam this week could be cause for concern for the Italian champions. Inter were beaten 3-1 by city rivals AC Milan on Saturday night, falling 2-0 down within the opening 10 minutes. That was further evidence of Inter’s issues at the back, as they’ve now shipped 19 goals in 13 matches this term. Change Lock pick to the Bonus Lock given out at the end of the show if original Lock price continues to move and becomes worse than -150.
- Nov 1 · 8 minPremium
The European Show | 1/11
Marseille host Toulouse in the game of the weekend in France. Marseille have recovered after a disastrous start to the season and they can make it four wins in a row in Ligue 1 when they entertain Toulouse on Sunday. The visitors are yet to lose on their travels but they have drawn three of their four trips, and they may find a resurgent Marseille too much to cope with.
- Oct 30 · 14 min
Bündesliga 26/27 Matchday 8 Betting Picks | Däs Bündesliga Show
Bayern Munich host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga game of the weekend. Bayern finished 16 points clear of Borussia Dortmund in claiming their 13th Bundesliga title in the last 14 years last season, and early evidence suggests BVB may serve up the biggest challenge to the brilliant Bavarians again. Bayern and Dortmund have both taken 17 points from their opening seven games, each unbeaten with five wins and two draws, and goals tend to be a common theme in this fixture.
- Oct 25 · 29 min
NFL WEEK 7 KEY GAMES BETTING PICKS | THE NFL SHOW
Week 7 brings a huge Sunday night test for Patrick Mahomes as the unbeaten Chiefs travel to Seattle, while Jordan Love’s Packers face the Lions in a key NFC North showdown. Bryce Young’s Panthers host Tampa Bay in an important divisional clash, and Matthew Stafford’s Rams take on the Raiders with both teams needing momentum. We break down the biggest matchups, assess the strongest betting angles across spreads, totals and player props, and look ahead to Cowboys–Eagles on Monday night, with divisional pride and pressure adding another layer to an intriguing slate.
- Oct 24 · 14 minPremium
The European Show - El Clásico Special
This episode primarily focuses on this weekend’s El Clásico. Jose Mourinho, famously dubbed the “translator” after previous Blaugrana coaches used his admirable linguistic skill, has never forgiven the club for overlooking him and appointing Pep Guardiola in 2008. Like everything, this is personal, and it showed when he tried to go toe-to-toe with Guardiola’s Blaugrana in his first Clasico as Real coach in 2010, only to be outclassed 5-0. It says so much about what a sensational start to 2026-27 Barcelona have made that they are as short as 4/7 to win against the division’s second-best team Real Madrid. We’re only nine matchdays into the season, yet Barcelona have already opened up a six-point gap over their arch-rivals, with a vastly superior goal difference (+30 vs +16) to boot. It’s hard to argue with the odds, given that Barca have won every one of their La Liga home matches - yes, every single one - since the start of last season. That’s 23 straight home victories, with a remarkable average positive goal difference of 2.61 per match). It looks like Barca may be a home banker on paper, however, were there any lessons that Real Madrid can draw from the fact that PSG outplayed Barcelona en route to beating them 4-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday night? Billi thinks there might be— well, at least enough to make some money on this game. The crowd will target him; he may respond, and controversy seems inevitable.
- Oct 24 · 12 min
UFC 333 Preview | The Fight Show (EP. 199)
UFC 333 takes place Saturday, October 24 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, and will be headlined by Volkanovski vs Evloev. Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili also meet for a third time in the co-main event. On this episode, Billi breaks down both and gives you his best bet for each of them.
Soccer Betting Podcast
A dedicated feed for soccer picks, previews, and results.
- Nov 3 · 26 min
UCL 26/27 Matchday 4 Key Games Betting Picks (includes Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich) | The Champions League Show (EP. 119)
Bayern Munich are favourites for Tuesday’s trip to Madrid but an in-form Atletico Madrid look good value to extend their unbeaten run, especially given Bayern's incredibly long list of injuries. Los Colchoneros’ last defeat came in their mid-September trip to Anfield, with them winning eight of their nine games since then, while Bayern Munich were denied a chance to open a gap at the top of the Bundesliga after drawing with Borussia Dortmund on Saturday- their fourth failure to win in their last seven games. Elsewhere, Aston Villa travel to the Nou Camp to take on Barcelona. Emery's side have won all three of their UCL, and if two years ago is anything to go by, they will relish the chance to face Europe's elite. Villa impressively qualified in the top eight in 24/25, beating Bayern Munich 1-0 at Villa Park in the league phase. In the quarter-finals they led PSG away from home before a stoppage-time goal saw them lose 3-1. They then roared back from 2-0 down to win the second leg 3-2 and missed a glut of chances in the final half-hour.
- Oct 31 · 9 min
Serie A Matchday 9 Betting Picks | Scommesse Italia (EP. 191)
Ruben Amorim faces his first Milan derby under pressure, following two heavy defeats. The former Manchester United boss oversaw a 3-0 loss at Bournemouth before losing 4-2 at home to Bologna in midweek.It’s a tough time to face the champions, with Inter Milan hitting their stride following a 4-3 defeat at home to Club Brugge earlier this month. The Nerazzurri have won four straight games across all competitions, and they’ve moved top of the table.
- Oct 30 · 32 min
Premier League 26/27 Matchday 9 Betting Picks | The EPL Show (EP. 309)
Arsenal were on the receiving end of one of the biggest cup upsets in recent memory in midweek as Fleetwood Town dumped them out of the EFL Cup, and they may struggle to get back to winning ways against the in-form Liverpool, in the game of the weekend, on Sunday. The Reds knocked out Chelsea on penalties in their midweek cup tie to make it five games unbeaten, and they have scored 15 goals across this period.
- Oct 30 · 17 min
EMBARRASSMENT FC: Chelsea v United Preview | Bet MUFC (EP. 249)
After successive setbacks, Chelsea will look to get back on track when they welcome Manchester United to Stamford Bridge tomorrow. Xabi Alonso’s side lost 2-0 to rivals Tottenham last week in the league at home, in what was only their second defeat in a league game at Stamford Bridge against Spurs in 36 years. Chelsea will be desperate to rebuild some momentum, and they can do that against a struggling and hapless Manchester United side. Michael Carrick is hanging onto his job by thread after an eight-game winless run, with United winning just two of their 12 fixtures this season.
- Oct 24 · 33 min
Carrick v Bruno - Who needs to go? | Bet MUFC (EP. 248)
Michael Carrick is favourite to be the next Premier League manager to depart after a chastening start to the season for Manchester United, which has seen them win just two of their 11 games in all competitions. Bruno Fernandes openly criticised the manager after that performance and it’s fair to say that Carrick is drinking in the last chance saloon as his team host Bournemouth at Old Trafford this weekend.
- Oct 24 · 17 min
Serie A Matchday 8 Betting Picks | Scommesse Italia (EP. 190)
After racking up big Champions League wins in midweek, Napoli and Roma face off in the Serie A game of the weekend, with the hosts looking to find some consistency domestically. The Partenopei have lost three of their seven league games after their 1-0 defeat to Venezia last weekend and will be aiming to improve against an unbeaten Roma side.Gian Piero Gasperini’s men are two points off league leaders Inter after an impressive start to the season in which they have conceded just three times in seven games.
- Oct 23 · 35 min
Premier League 26/27 Matchday 8 Betting Picks | The EPL Show (EP. 308)
Billi breaks down the Premier League’s Matchday 8 slate. Arsenal will be looking to maintain their momentum against Everton, while Chelsea host Tottenham in what's likely to be another heated London derby on Saturday. Tottenham picked up their first Premier League win of the season at home to Coventry last time out, but they are set for a tougher test when they visit fellow Londoners. Spurs’ only previous victory this season came in the League Cup against Charlton and they have been beaten by Aston Villa, Liverpool, Newcastle and Brentford already. They have lost their last six meetings with Chelsea and have not won at Stamford Bridge since 2018. Thanks to European football, we get four games on Sunday. The game of the day sees Liverpool welcome an impressive Brighton side whose European commitments may add another dimension to their Anfield challenge. For all official plays, visit LockBetting.com.For all official plays, visit LockBetting.com, with 160 consecutive months of transparent, tracked profit and spreadsheets posted publicly on Instagram @LockBetting.
- Oct 20 · 33 min
UCL 26/27 Matchday 3 Key Games Betting Picks (includes PSG v Barcelona) | The Champions League Show (EP. 118)
Paris St-Germain v Barcelona - a fixture that could prove to be the most exciting in this season's Champions League. Matchday 3's game of the week, sees the two top teams in the market clash in Paris, as PSG host Barcelona. The free-scoring teams start match week three as the league phase's top two, with PSG ahead of Barcelona on goals scored and with no other sides having netted more this term. PSG were 2-1 winners when they met at this stage last season, with Luis Enrique's side going on to win a second successive Champions League title, having also beaten Barcelona over two legs in the quarter-finals three seasons. Since the start of the 2025 Club World Cup, Barca and PSG rank second and third respectively for most goals scored per match by clubs in Europe's top five leagues.Barca have netted 192 times in 68 games at a rate of 2.82 per match, with PSG scoring 154 in 67 games at 2.3 per outing. Only Bayern Munich rank above both.
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